Next Trading Day Historical Breakout

LC: 38 historical upside samples; 42% next-day close continuation; 58% reversal close | FC: 41 historical upside samples; 46% next-day close continuation; 54% reversal close

Back to Alpha Current

Live Cattle Next Day

Current Setup: 2026-07-24 | UP | FULL ORB TRAP | INSIDE_ABOVE_MID

Cohort: same_break_side

Samples: 38 | Continuation: 42% | Gap: 53% | Touch: 90% | Reversal: 58%

SetupNextSideLabelClose Loc Setup CloseNext OpenNext HighNext LowNext Close Gap PtsClose PtsFav PtsAdv Pts Gap DirCont CloseTouchReversal
2026-03-272026-03-30UPACCEPTED FIRST BREAKABOVE_ORB238.825238.775241.625238.725240.4-0.051.5752.80.1FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-03-302026-03-31UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB240.4239.875243.475239.75243.3-0.5252.93.0750.65FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-03-312026-04-01UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB243.3243.05244.8243.05244.225-0.250.9251.50.25FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-012026-04-02UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB244.225242.275246.575241.95246.2-1.951.9752.352.275FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-022026-04-06UPACCEPTED FIRST BREAKABOVE_ORB246.2246.875248.45246.125247.30.6751.12.250.075TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-072026-04-08UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKBELOW_ORB245.55247.225247.75244.65245.751.6750.22.20.9TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-132026-04-14UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB248.7248.5252.0248.5251.35-0.22.653.30.2FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-142026-04-15UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB251.35251.1251.9249.575251.225-0.25-0.1250.551.775FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-04-152026-04-16UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB251.225251.525251.9246.9247.60.3-3.6250.6754.325TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-04-172026-04-20UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB247.15247.3248.9245.625246.150.15-1.01.751.525TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-04-212026-04-22UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKBELOW_ORB243.5243.6243.975241.525243.2250.1-0.2750.4751.975TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-04-232026-04-24UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB243.475244.0246.5243.825244.8750.5251.43.0250.0TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-242026-04-27UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB244.875245.725249.45245.375248.9750.854.14.5750.0TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-272026-04-28UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB248.975249.0253.75248.55253.450.0254.4754.7750.425TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-282026-04-29UPACCEPTED FIRST BREAKABOVE_ORB253.45254.5255.975253.65255.11.051.652.5250.0TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-05-012026-05-04UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKBELOW_ORB253.0252.975253.325249.4251.95-0.025-1.050.3253.6FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-05-062026-05-07UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB253.475253.25253.45246.925250.45-0.225-3.0250.06.55FalseFalseFalseTrue
2026-05-112026-05-12UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB249.65251.675253.0247.5247.62.025-2.053.352.15TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-05-132026-05-14UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB246.25248.125249.025245.85246.41.8750.152.7750.4TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-05-152026-05-18UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB248.025248.875249.975246.8247.1250.85-0.91.951.225TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-05-192026-05-20UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB247.175247.425247.425242.725245.1750.25-2.00.254.45TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-05-222026-05-26UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB239.375239.0242.15237.75239.3-0.375-0.0752.7751.625FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-05-272026-05-28UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB242.475242.5243.225240.925241.150.025-1.3250.751.55TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-05-282026-05-29UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKBELOW_ORB241.15241.175241.925238.6239.20.025-1.950.7752.55TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-06-012026-06-02UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB240.4240.225240.425237.025239.8-0.175-0.60.0253.375FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-06-032026-06-04UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB237.85234.45242.3233.975241.675-3.43.8254.453.875FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-06-042026-06-05UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB241.675242.0245.225240.8241.6250.325-0.053.550.875TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-06-052026-06-08UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB241.625241.65243.25236.25236.3250.025-5.31.6255.375TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-06-102026-06-11UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB241.775241.45243.25240.55242.625-0.3250.851.4751.225FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-06-112026-06-12UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB242.625242.6243.125238.55240.95-0.025-1.6750.54.075FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-06-162026-06-17UPACCEPTED FIRST BREAKABOVE_ORB249.125249.125249.85247.9249.050.0-0.0750.7251.225FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-06-172026-06-18UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB249.05248.225248.875245.775246.75-0.825-2.30.03.275FalseFalseFalseTrue
2026-06-242026-06-25UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB246.65247.4248.4245.625247.2250.750.5751.751.025TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-07-062026-07-07UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB239.375239.2239.825237.05238.35-0.175-1.0250.452.325FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-07-102026-07-13UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB235.0230.55232.55230.375230.825-4.45-4.1750.04.625FalseFalseFalseTrue
2026-07-132026-07-14UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB230.825230.15230.15227.4227.75-0.675-3.0750.03.425FalseFalseFalseTrue
2026-07-202026-07-21UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB223.3223.85224.675221.975223.050.55-0.251.3751.325TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-07-232026-07-24UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB221.475221.775224.125220.775222.5750.31.12.650.7TrueTrueTrueFalse

Feeder Cattle Next Day

Current Setup: 2026-07-24 | UP | FULL ORB TRAP | INSIDE_ABOVE_MID

Cohort: same_break_side

Samples: 41 | Continuation: 46% | Gap: 58% | Touch: 93% | Reversal: 54%

SetupNextSideLabelClose Loc Setup CloseNext OpenNext HighNext LowNext Close Gap PtsClose PtsFav PtsAdv Pts Gap DirCont CloseTouchReversal
2026-03-272026-03-30UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB360.125360.25364.525359.75361.850.1251.7254.40.375TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-03-312026-04-01UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB366.425366.5370.15365.5368.1250.0751.73.7250.925TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-012026-04-02UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB368.125365.125371.25363.425370.675-3.02.553.1254.7FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-022026-04-06UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB370.675371.175372.625369.0370.70.50.0251.951.675TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-072026-04-08UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKBELOW_ORB366.425370.3370.55365.525367.8753.8751.454.1250.9TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-092026-04-10UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB370.775371.5373.1370.175372.2750.7251.52.3250.6TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-102026-04-13UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB372.275371.575373.875371.125373.325-0.71.051.61.15FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-132026-04-14UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB373.325373.0377.575372.825374.375-0.3251.054.250.5FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-142026-04-15UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB374.375375.425375.875370.45372.0751.05-2.31.53.925TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-04-172026-04-20UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKBELOW_ORB365.1366.0367.875360.8361.750.9-3.352.7754.3TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-04-212026-04-22UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKBELOW_ORB359.025360.0360.275356.325359.00.975-0.0251.252.7TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-04-232026-04-24UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB359.125361.0363.65360.05360.951.8751.8254.5250.0TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-242026-04-27UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB360.95361.775369.0361.75368.3250.8257.3758.050.0TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-272026-04-28UPACCEPTED FIRST BREAKABOVE_ORB368.325368.225373.75366.95373.075-0.14.755.4251.375FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-04-282026-04-29UPACCEPTED FIRST BREAKABOVE_ORB373.075374.325376.025371.05372.3751.25-0.72.952.025TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-04-302026-05-01UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB373.6373.375379.45371.95372.025-0.225-1.5755.851.65FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-05-012026-05-04UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKBELOW_ORB372.025372.0372.525364.0366.975-0.025-5.050.58.025FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-05-052026-05-06UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB372.225373.775374.875372.15372.951.550.7252.650.075TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-05-132026-05-14UPACCEPTED FIRST BREAKABOVE_ORB360.475363.65364.55357.1358.2253.175-2.254.0753.375TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-05-152026-05-18UPACCEPTED FIRST BREAKABOVE_ORB361.275363.1363.75358.1358.7751.825-2.52.4753.175TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-05-192026-05-20UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB363.85364.0366.125358.775365.8250.151.9752.2755.075TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-05-272026-05-28UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB354.525355.0356.15352.6352.8750.475-1.651.6251.925TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-05-282026-05-29UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB352.875354.075354.7346.5348.9251.2-3.951.8256.375TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-06-012026-06-02UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB351.175349.475350.35345.0348.9-1.7-2.2750.06.175FalseFalseFalseTrue
2026-06-022026-06-03UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB348.9345.75348.3340.8342.575-3.15-6.3250.08.1FalseFalseFalseTrue
2026-06-032026-06-04UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB342.575336.7353.375335.95353.375-5.87510.810.86.625FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-06-042026-06-05UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB353.375354.7358.75351.2353.7251.3250.355.3752.175TrueTrueTrueFalse
2026-06-052026-06-08UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB353.725354.35358.55349.0350.250.625-3.4754.8254.725TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-06-112026-06-12UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB359.525359.65360.3355.2357.050.125-2.4750.7754.325TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-06-152026-06-16UPACCEPTED FIRST BREAKABOVE_ORB361.375361.075367.9360.2367.625-0.36.256.5251.175FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-06-162026-06-17UPACCEPTED FIRST BREAKABOVE_ORB367.625367.05367.875364.75367.425-0.575-0.20.252.875FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-06-172026-06-18UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB367.425366.6369.025365.2366.925-0.825-0.51.62.225FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-06-222026-06-23UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB371.075370.9371.575367.125368.275-0.175-2.80.53.95FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-06-242026-06-25UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB373.225375.1377.4371.05373.0251.875-0.24.1752.175TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-07-062026-07-07UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB360.825360.825362.525359.05360.850.00.0251.71.775FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-07-092026-07-10UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKBELOW_ORB356.275357.15358.4351.45354.3750.875-1.92.1254.825TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-07-102026-07-13UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKBELOW_ORB354.375354.5358.55352.975354.20.125-0.1754.1751.4TrueFalseTrueTrue
2026-07-132026-07-14UPFAILED UPSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB354.2353.45353.475347.95349.625-0.75-4.5750.06.25FalseFalseFalseTrue
2026-07-172026-07-20UPOPPOSITE DOWNSIDE BREAKINSIDE_ORB345.925345.75352.6345.05352.55-0.1756.6256.6750.875FalseTrueTrueFalse
2026-07-202026-07-21UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB352.55352.45353.475347.8349.4-0.1-3.150.9254.75FalseFalseTrueTrue
2026-07-232026-07-24UPRE-ACCEPTED UPSIDE BREAKABOVE_ORB340.125341.0345.475337.25342.050.8751.9255.352.875TrueTrueTrueFalse

Historical next-trading-day behavior after days matching the current 15m ORB setup. This is research context only, not a standalone trade signal.