Official Read: LIVE TRADE LAB AVAILABLE
Live Trade Status: ENABLED
Usable: True
Research Context: orb_research=PASS, open_interest=PASS, cot_positioning=PASS, boxed_beef=WATCH, cash_cattle=PASS, cattle_on_feed=PASS, macro_watch=WATCH, august_retracement=PASS
Reason: Trade Lab is live-current. Research context remains separate background confirmation.
Daily Live/Feeder ORB, trap/reversal guard, Tomorrow OI Review, Next Day Historical, Decision Engine, Execution Gate, Pro Data, and Open Interest are grouped on one page.
Use this page for the trading-day read. The main dashboard stays for slower background modules.
Usable:
Source:
Latest Data CT:
Last Refresh CT:
Age Seconds:
Signal:
Bias: BULLISH SEASONAL / OI WARNING
Confidence:
Role: Research only - directional wind, not standalone trade signal.
Contract Focus: August Live Cattle
Flat Window: 06-20 to 07-30
Flat Win Rate: 1.0
Flat Avg Move: 7.725 pts
Flat Recent 3Y Avg: 12.317 pts
Spread Confirm: AUG_MINUS_OCT
Spread Window: 07-13 to 08-17
Spread Avg Move: 2.57 pts
Overlap: Best confirmed overlap is mid-July into late July.
Combined Score: 98.4
OI Symbol: LEQ6
OI Date:
OI Verdict: PRICE UP BUT OI FELL - SHORT COVER / NOT FRESH CONFIRMATION
5D Price / OI: pts /
Trade Meaning: Seasonal structure is bullish, but current Databento OI must confirm before upgrading live conviction. Use as directional wind only. Favor buy-break logic only if spreads, cash/boxed beef, ORB, and fresh OI support it.
Warnings:
Research only: not a standalone trade signal.
Seasonal structure stays separate from trade execution.
OI must come from current Databento open_interest_status.json, not stale research files.
Latest OI is prior-day participation context, not live intraday confirmation.
Late July/August OI declines can be roll/expiration distortion, not always bearish.
Usable: True
Source: /opt/alpha/imported_data/data/cot_cattle.csv
Latest Data CT: 2026-06-02
Last Refresh CT: 2026-06-09T07:55:06.800310-05:00
Age Seconds:
Signal: ELEVATED FUND LONG CROWDING
Bias: BULLISH TREND / WATCH LIQUIDATION RISK
Confidence: MEDIUM
Raw COT Report Date: 2026-06-02
COT OI: 343287.0
MM Long: 129374.0
MM Short: 13267.0
MM Net: 116107.0
MM Net % OI: 33.82
Producer/Merchant Net: -122247.0
Producer/Merchant Net % OI: -35.61
Swap Net: 55581.0
Other Reportable Net: -30585.0
MM Net Rank All History: 89.1
MM Net % OI Rank All History: 92.9
Freshness Age Days: 7
COT Index Date: 2026-06-02
COT Index MM Net: +116,107 | 33.82%
COT Index 6M / 36M / 15Y: 55.5% / 81.3% / 84.8%
Post-COT OI Date: 2026-06-05
Post-COT OI Gap: -13,448
Post-COT Verdict: Post-COT OI contracted; liquidation or roll pressure after the COT report.
Latest COT report is current for weekly positioning context. Raw COT CSV and COT index context are aligned. Latest raw COT report 2026-06-02: MM net 116107.0 (33.82% of OI), Producer/Merchant net -122247.0 (-35.61% of OI), COT OI 343287.0. COT module is weekly positioning context only and does not create live trade signals.
Usable: True
Source: /opt/alpha/imported_data/data/boxed_beef_history.csv
Latest Data CT: 2026-06-08 AFTERNOON
Last Refresh CT: 2026-06-09T07:55:01.693487-05:00
Age Seconds:
Signal: CHOICE AND SELECT LOWER
Bias: DEMAND WEAKNESS
Confidence: LOW
Daily Report: 2026-06-08 AFTERNOON
Report Code: LM_XB403
Choice: 392.2
Select: 378.09
Choice/Select Spread: 14.110000000000014
Choice Change: -0.5
Select Change: -4.6
Loads: 103.01
Choice Loads: 77.64
Select Loads: 21.28
Morning Today Loaded: False
Afternoon Today Loaded: False
Morning Window: 10:45-11:30 CT
Afternoon Window: 15:00-15:45 CT
Demand Score Context: SECONDARY / MAY NOT MATCH LATEST SESSION
Demand Score Date: 2026-06-08
Demand Score: 60
Demand Signal: Mixed boxed beef confirmation
Weekly Cutout Detail: REFERENCE ONLY
Using yesterday's latest boxed beef as background; today's morning report not expected yet. Latest daily report: 2026-06-08 AFTERNOON, Choice 392.2, Select 378.09, Spread 14.110000000000014, Loads 103.01. Weekly Tuesday cutout detail is kept separate and does not overwrite daily boxed beef freshness.
Usable: True
Source: /opt/alpha_current/data/cash_cattle/cash_cattle_index.csv
Latest Data CT: 2026-06-08 daily
Last Refresh CT: 2026-06-09T07:55:02.946668-05:00
Age Seconds:
Signal: NEUTRAL / TWO-SIDED CASH
Bias: MIXED CASH LEVERAGE
Confidence: MEDIUM
Primary Report: 2026-06-08 daily
Code: LM_CT100
Blended Live Cash: 256.47
Last Week: 256.81
Change vs Last Week: -0.34
Leverage: Mixed
Daily Cash: 2026-06-08 | 256.47 | Chg -0.34
Weekly Cash: 2026-06-08 | 256.47 | Chg -0.34
Freshness Age Days: 1
Latest cash cattle index is current enough for background use. Latest daily cash report date 2026-06-08: blended live cash 256.47, change vs last week -0.34, signal NEUTRAL / TWO-SIDED CASH, leverage Mixed. Daily live sample quality: GOOD SAMPLE; daily live head count 16288. Weekly live FOB range 253.00 - 258.00; Cash module is background context only and does not create live trade signals.
Usable: True
Source:
Latest Data CT:
Last Refresh CT: 2026-06-09T07:55:02.998793-05:00
Age Seconds:
Signal: BEARISH COF — HIGHER ON-FEED, HIGHER PLACEMENTS, LOWER MARKETINGS
Bias: BEARISH SUPPLY / FEEDLOT INVENTORY PRESSURE
Confidence: MEDIUM
Latest Report Month:
On Feed Head:
Placements Head:
Marketings Head:
Other Disappearance:
Net Feedlot Flow:
3-Month Net Flow:
Previous Month: | On Feed
On Feed Change vs Previous:
Full Report Loaded:
Freshness Age Days:
Source:
Latest May 2026 Cattle on Feed context loaded: higher on-feed inventory, higher placements, and lower marketings. Use as bearish monthly background only; not a standalone intraday trade trigger.
Usable: False
Source:
Latest Data CT:
Last Refresh CT: 2026-05-21T05:39:28.605350-05:00
Age Seconds:
Signal:
Bias:
Confidence:
Module not built yet in Alpha Current.
Usable: True
Source: /opt/alpha_current/data/macro_watch_flags.csv
Latest Data CT: 2026-05-22
Last Refresh CT: 2026-06-09T07:55:03.068005-05:00
Age Seconds:
Signal: MACRO WATCH ACTIVE
Bias: TWO-SIDED
Confidence: LOW
Highest Bucket: Imports / Exports
Highest Headline: Monitor broad beef import/export headlines
Highest Bias: TWO-SIDED
Active/Watch Count: 7
| Bucket | Status | Bias | Headline | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USDA / Brooke Rollins / Trump Beef Policy | NO SHOCK | NEUTRAL | No confirmed new beef policy shock | Monitor USDA Secretary Brooke Rollins and Trump beef policy comments |
| Big Four Packer Pressure | NO SHOCK | NEUTRAL | No confirmed new Big Four packer shock | Monitor Tyson Cargill JBS National Beef plant or policy shocks |
| Imports / Exports | WATCH | TWO-SIDED | Monitor broad beef import/export headlines | Imports can pressure supply bearish; exports can support demand bullish |
| Screwworm / Mexico Border | WATCH | BULLISH SUPPLY RISK | Monitor screwworm and Mexico border cattle movement risk | Escalates on confirmed border restriction animal-health disruption or cattle flow impact |
| Brazil Beef | WATCH | BEARISH IMPORT SUPPLY RISK | Monitor Brazil beef imports tariff quota and access headlines | Escalates on confirmed import relief tariff change or access expansion |
| Argentina Beef | WATCH | BEARISH IMPORT SUPPLY RISK | Monitor Argentina beef import/export access headlines | Escalates on confirmed U.S. import access or tariff policy change |
| Australia Beef | WATCH | BEARISH IMPORT SUPPLY RISK | Monitor Australia beef import/export supply headlines | Escalates on confirmed import flow shift or supply expansion |
| China Beef Access | WATCH | BULLISH EXPORT DEMAND RISK | Monitor China U.S. beef plant licenses customs access and exports | Escalates on confirmed U.S. beef access license renewal customs approval or suspension |
| Japan Beef Access | WATCH | BULLISH EXPORT DEMAND RISK | Monitor Japan beef export demand and policy headlines | Escalates on confirmed export access demand policy or tariff change |
Macro Watch highest status is WATCH. This is headline/shock context only and does not create a trade signal by itself.