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August Retracement Model

Trigger: August Live Cattle open-to-close move ≥ 60 ticks (1.50 points).
Updated CT: 2026-07-24T16:30:54-05:00
Research card only — confirm with current Alpha drivers before using as a trade signal.
Calendar / Data Integrity Guard

RESEARCH ONLY - OI LAGGING PRICE DATE

Price setup date is 2026-07-24, but August OI date is 2026-07-23. Do not allow signal until OI catches up.

CalendarNORMAL TRADING DAY
Expected Trading DayTrue
Latest Bar2026-07-24
Bar Age0
Data StatusFRESH TODAY
SourceDATABENTO LIVE/RECENT SOURCE
OIREADY
OI Date2026-07-23
OI Change-1576.0
OI ReadNOT CHECKED
Current Detected Setup

NO SETUP TODAY

Latest August daily bar did not close up or down 60+ ticks, so the retracement model has no new trigger.

NO RETRACEMENT SETUP
Date2026-07-24
SymbolLEQ6
DirectionNO 60+ TICK CLOSE
Move Ticks48.0
FreshnessTODAY
Age Days0
ConfidenceNA
RetraceNone
ContinuationNone
EdgeNone
No current 60+ tick August open-to-close trigger. Use other Alpha modules.
Retracement Progress

NO_TRIGGER

Event Close
25% Target
50% Target
75% Target
100% Target
Continuation +50
Latest Price
Post Low
Post High
Retrace %
FORWARD_DOWN_CLOSE 3D: LOOK FOR BOUNCE / DO NOT CHASE BREAK 5D: LOOK FOR BOUNCE / DO NOT CHASE BREAK
FORWARD_UP_CLOSE 3D: RESPECT CONTINUATION / DO NOT FADE EARLY 5D: RESPECT CONTINUATION / DO NOT FADE EARLY

Monday — FORWARD_UP_CLOSE

WAIT / NO CLEAR EDGE

LOW

Monday setup has no clear edge.

Retrace/Bounce38.2
Continuation40.9
Edge-2.7
Events50
Recent examples
2026-04-27 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 145.0 ticks Retrace: 67.0 ticks Continuation: 241.0 ticks
2026-06-15 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 71.0 ticks Retrace: 17.0 ticks Continuation: 265.0 ticks
2026-07-20 LEQ6 SAME_DAY_BOTH_HIT Move: 80.0 ticks Retrace: 192.0 ticks Continuation: 80.0 ticks

Tuesday — FORWARD_UP_CLOSE

RESPECT CONTINUATION / DO NOT FADE EARLY

HIGH

Tuesday 60+ tick August up close historically favors continuation first. Do not fade early.

Retrace/Bounce19.7
Continuation48.9
Edge-29.2
Events53
Recent examples
2026-04-28 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_FIRST_THEN_RETRACE Move: 133.0 ticks Retrace: 195.0 ticks Continuation: 113.0 ticks
2026-06-09 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 106.0 ticks Retrace: 46.0 ticks Continuation: 390.0 ticks
2026-06-16 LEQ6 RETRACE_ONLY Move: 235.0 ticks Retrace: 146.0 ticks Continuation: 35.0 ticks

Wednesday — FORWARD_UP_CLOSE

LOOK FOR RETRACE / DO NOT CHASE RALLY

MEDIUM

Wednesday 60+ tick August up close historically favors retrace-first. Do not chase the rally.

Retrace/Bounce48.3
Continuation33.4
Edge14.9
Events45
Recent examples
2026-05-13 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_FIRST_THEN_RETRACE Move: 166.0 ticks Retrace: 141.0 ticks Continuation: 149.0 ticks
2026-05-27 LEQ6 RETRACE_ONLY Move: 119.0 ticks Retrace: 284.0 ticks Continuation: 30.0 ticks
2026-06-10 LEQ6 SAME_DAY_BOTH_HIT Move: 71.0 ticks Retrace: 129.0 ticks Continuation: 323.0 ticks

Thursday — FORWARD_UP_CLOSE

RESPECT CONTINUATION / DO NOT FADE EARLY

HIGH

Thursday 60+ tick August up close historically favors continuation first. Do not fade early.

Retrace/Bounce15.5
Continuation55.3
Edge-39.9
Events36
Recent examples
2026-04-23 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 82.0 ticks Retrace: -9.0 ticks Continuation: 444.0 ticks
2026-06-04 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_FIRST_THEN_RETRACE Move: 289.0 ticks Retrace: 261.0 ticks Continuation: 142.0 ticks
2026-07-23 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 86.0 ticks Retrace: -2.0 ticks Continuation: 123.0 ticks

Friday — FORWARD_UP_CLOSE

LOOK FOR RETRACE / DO NOT CHASE RALLY

MEDIUM

Friday 60+ tick August up close historically favors retrace-first. Do not chase the rally.

Retrace/Bounce40.8
Continuation22.6
Edge18.2
Events33
Recent examples
2026-01-02 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 134.0 ticks Retrace: 56.0 ticks Continuation: 96.0 ticks
2026-03-27 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 129.0 ticks Retrace: 4.0 ticks Continuation: 304.0 ticks
2026-05-15 LEQ6 SAME_DAY_BOTH_HIT Move: 92.0 ticks Retrace: 448.0 ticks Continuation: 78.0 ticks

Monday — FORWARD_DOWN_CLOSE

LOOK FOR BOUNCE / DO NOT CHASE BREAK

HIGH

Monday 60+ tick August down close historically favors bounce-first. Do not chase the break.

Retrace/Bounce43.6
Continuation15.4
Edge28.2
Events23
Recent examples
2026-05-18 LEQ6 RETRACE_FIRST_THEN_CONTINUATION Move: 70.0 ticks Retrace: 49.0 ticks Continuation: 412.0 ticks
2026-06-08 LEQ6 RETRACE_ONLY Move: 213.0 ticks Retrace: 285.0 ticks Continuation: 47.0 ticks
2026-06-29 LEQ6 SAME_DAY_BOTH_HIT Move: 82.0 ticks Retrace: 41.0 ticks Continuation: 256.0 ticks

Tuesday — FORWARD_DOWN_CLOSE

LOOK FOR BOUNCE / DO NOT CHASE BREAK

HIGH

Tuesday 60+ tick August down close historically favors bounce-first. Do not chase the break.

Retrace/Bounce49.5
Continuation21.3
Edge28.2
Events35
Recent examples
2026-05-12 LEQ6 RETRACE_ONLY Move: 196.0 ticks Retrace: 365.0 ticks Continuation: 13.0 ticks
2026-06-30 LEQ6 SAME_DAY_BOTH_HIT Move: 89.0 ticks Retrace: 60.0 ticks Continuation: 315.0 ticks
2026-07-14 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 68.0 ticks Retrace: -16.0 ticks Continuation: 353.0 ticks

Wednesday — FORWARD_DOWN_CLOSE

RESPECT CONTINUATION LOWER / DO NOT CATCH FALLING KNIFE

HIGH

Wednesday 60+ tick August down close historically favors downside continuation first.

Retrace/Bounce19.6
Continuation55.7
Edge-36.1
Events37
Recent examples
2025-11-19 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 114.0 ticks Retrace: 52.0 ticks Continuation: 427.0 ticks
2026-05-20 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 90.0 ticks Retrace: 13.0 ticks Continuation: 334.0 ticks
2026-07-22 LEQ6 SAME_DAY_BOTH_HIT Move: 106.0 ticks Retrace: 206.0 ticks Continuation: 66.0 ticks

Thursday — FORWARD_DOWN_CLOSE

LOOK FOR BOUNCE / DO NOT CHASE BREAK

HIGH

Thursday 60+ tick August down close historically favors bounce-first. Do not chase the break.

Retrace/Bounce47.1
Continuation13.9
Edge33.1
Events47
Recent examples
2026-07-02 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 130.0 ticks Retrace: 61.0 ticks Continuation: 244.0 ticks
2026-07-09 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 112.0 ticks Retrace: 48.0 ticks Continuation: 371.0 ticks
2026-07-16 LEQ6 CONTINUATION_ONLY Move: 145.0 ticks Retrace: 36.0 ticks Continuation: 206.0 ticks

Friday — FORWARD_DOWN_CLOSE

LOOK FOR BOUNCE / DO NOT CHASE BREAK

HIGH

Friday 60+ tick August down close historically favors bounce-first. Do not chase the break.

Retrace/Bounce46.5
Continuation16.7
Edge29.8
Events41
Recent examples
2026-05-29 LEQ6 RETRACE_FIRST_THEN_CONTINUATION Move: 79.0 ticks Retrace: 241.0 ticks Continuation: 209.0 ticks
2026-06-12 LEQ6 RETRACE_ONLY Move: 66.0 ticks Retrace: 362.0 ticks Continuation: 2.0 ticks
2026-07-17 LEQ6 RETRACE_FIRST_THEN_CONTINUATION Move: 116.0 ticks Retrace: 166.0 ticks Continuation: 106.0 ticks